Spies 2: The Recruitment - What are the chances the Spy will win?

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Nov 28, 2009, 1:41pm

Spies 2: The Recruitment :: Spies 2: The Recruitment :: Watching the Game :: What are the chances the Spy will win?

Poll

Poll Question: Mathematically speaking, what are the chances that the Spy will win?

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(2 votes, 16.6%)

(0 votes, 0%)

33%

(3 votes, 25%)

66%

(4 votes, 33.3%)

100%

(3 votes, 25%)

Poll Totals:
Total Votes: 12
Total Voters: 12

Author

Topic: What are the chances the Spy will win? (Read 411 times)

Beast
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What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Thread Started on Aug 21, 2006, 11:43pm »

Mathematically speaking, what are the chances that the Spy will win?

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Julian
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #1 on Aug 21, 2006, 11:48pm »

Technically, 33%. But that's if the 2 remaining Citizens wake up.

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ross
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #2 on Aug 22, 2006, 12:01am »

And even if the spy DOES get caught, I think he/she did a very good job. I mean, getting all this way is not a joke... and there is even a high chance that the citizens won because of luck...

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therealkarl
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #3 on Aug 22, 2006, 9:06am »

I'm so mad they exiled Anna...CMON!!! She even asked to be removed from the game... spies wouldn't do that! grrrrrrr i thought the cits were smarter than that....

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formerlyadriana
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #4 on Aug 22, 2006, 6:41pm »

Exiling Anna was a bad idea ...

... for the Spy.

Now that Anna's gone, one very important mystery is solvable. If the Citizens catch on, then the Spy's cover is completely blown. CAN THEY DO IT? I'm not going to say any more till after the game.

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yaytiffany
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #5 on Aug 22, 2006, 7:11pm »

yeah thursday is sooo far away

imma hafta make sure i can make it! cause like i just started college and its a way new experience, so ive been enjoying hanging with my new girls! <3 aww i cant wait to see everyone again though, i missed you citizens, and you spies!

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therealkarl
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #6 on Aug 22, 2006, 9:36pm »

and just for the record, I shall not say who i believe the last spy is! STOP ASKING!!! I'm not naming anyone...you know who you are

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admiraltreymofo
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #7 on Aug 22, 2006, 9:53pm »

Maybe the spy has amnesia and doesn't really know that they're a spy anymore!??!?

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Tyson
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #8 on Aug 25, 2006, 10:11am »

"Now that Anna's gone, one very important mystery is solvable. If the Citizens catch on, then the Spy's cover is completely blown. CAN THEY DO IT? I'm not going to say any more till after the game."

Yeah yeah... I regretted that Antonio accusation the minute after I'd cast it. But I wanted to make absolutely sure Allison stayed and it looked like it was going to be a six-six vote (six people voting Allison, three both voting and accusing Antonio) and my accusation would have made it six-seven in Allison's favor.

That said, I KNEW it wouldnt' really turn out as clean as that, an' I even said to Sam that I thought the accusation would be worthless. As it was, 'cause two obvious "Allison votors" went for Rodney instead an' she would've stayed whatever happened. G-U-T-T-E-D.

And BTW this was why I had to imprison Derek. I knew he and Karl would be able to take out Anna, and once they did that, there'd be no question in Derek's mind of who the final spy was. I didn't think I could fob him off with an excuse like I'd done with Karl and Nicole.

DANG, if I'd only insisted on Rodney bein' targeted instead of Anna... I never thought Karl was a danger, but I thought Rodney could be.

« Last Edit: Aug 25, 2006, 10:13am by Tyson »

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Karl
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #9 on Aug 25, 2006, 10:15am »

Gee, Tyson, thanks a lot.

“The dumber people think you are, the more surprised they're going to be when you kill them”
- William Clayton

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Tyson
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #10 on Aug 25, 2006, 10:19am »

No problem. Hey, yo' got me good brother!

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Adriana
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #11 on Aug 25, 2006, 2:36pm »

In retrospect, I'm surprised that Anna didn't make it to the final 3. Everyone was terrified that the last round would consist of uninformed inactives and the Spy, and that the Spy would win hands down. I strongly doubt that Anna would've been able to reason why Tyson was the Spy the way that Karl did.

« Last Edit: Aug 25, 2006, 2:37pm by Adriana »

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Tyson
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #12 on Aug 25, 2006, 5:10pm »

That's why I wanted Anna there. Also why I imprisoned Derek.

But Karl and Nicole wouldn't hear of it. Even my theory of Anna being "framed" didn't move them.

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Derek
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #13 on Aug 25, 2006, 9:56pm »

Are you claiming I am intelligent?

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Karl
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #14 on Aug 26, 2006, 12:37am »

No.

I'm sorry Derek... but just... no...

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Adriana
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #15 on Aug 26, 2006, 1:12am »

Karl's gold star!

[image]

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Derek
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Re: What are the chances the Spy will win?
« Reply #16 on Aug 26, 2006, 9:12am »

Quote:

And BTW this was why I had to imprison Derek. I knew he and Karl would be able to take out Anna, and once they did that, there'd be no question in Derek's mind of who the final spy was. I didn't think I could fob him off with an excuse like I'd done with Karl and Nicole.

Yes, Karl, Yes

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